Category Archives: Coronavirus

It Is Time to Face Reality about the Vaccines

It Is Time to Face Reality about the Vaccines

I just discovered Dr. Prasad and it seams that his is a balanced analysis of the current COVID situation: variants, vaccines, masks, and other risks. I would be interested in seeing more on COVID treatments, but perhaps he stays with what he knows. I’m guessing I re-post more of him. mrossol

A number of studies are converging on the fact that 2 doses of vaccination has poor vaccine effectiveness against Omicron. 3 doses does slightly better, but the effect will rapidly wane as antibody titers fall, and infection is certain as the number of exposures increase. These studies have immediate implications for vaccine and health-care policies.

First, Kaiser Southern California. Here are data for 2 doses of mRNA for effectiveness against Omicron. Follow the red line. Over time, it is 0%.

3 doses does better, for now. But look at the confidence interval of the red line. We have no idea if it will be preserved.

Now, let’s turn to the Province of Ontario, vaccine effectiveness 2 dose or 3 dose is in the toilet; Note the y axis, and broad confidence interval post dose 3. Here dose 3 would fail to meet the FDA standard of at least 50% VE, with lower bound CI >30%— the standard for EUA.

Now let us examine Denmark; here are the raw probabilities of secondary attack in a household.

Putting these 3 studies together: what is the conclusion? Two doses of vaccine does nothing or almost nothing to stop symptomatic sars-cov-2. Three doses barely does anything, and the effect will likely attenuate over time. Finally, as the number of exposures increase from 2 to 22 to 202, the cumulative probability of infection will approach 1. 

NOTE: This is not an argument about the benefits of vaccination for the individual— vaccines likely (and evidence shows they) still have great protection against severe disease; instead this is an argument about the effects of vaccination on symptomatic diseases, and (some good portion of) transmission.

Conclusion: you cannot contain the viral spread of omicron by boosting.

The moment we see that, the policy conclusions start to fall into place.

Booster mandates make no sense for young people/ working people/ hospitals/ anywhere. Young people will only be, at best, slightly less likely to spread for a short period of time, but the epidemic waves will eventually over take them. Boosting should happen in populations where it further reduces severe disease and death— aka older and vulnerable people. Focus on that and let college kids off the hook.

Some argue there is still a justification to boost because you can help prevent hospitals from being overwhelmed. Sadly, that argument fails in several ways. First, you have no evidence boosting younger people will slow hospitalizations. A vaccinated younger person already has very low risk of being hospitalized. Boosting may not further lower what is already very low. We simply have no evidence. Event rates are sparse at those ages.

Second, this argument would mean the state could tell people what to eat and how much to exercise, and how much to drink. Food, drink and obesity are drivers of hospitalizations. Instead, we have not accepted these infringements in the past. The justification for vaccine mandates is that it helps curb population spread. The latest vaccine effectiveness figures show that effect is now nearly gone, and transient at best. Ergo, the mandates are unjustified.

Firing nurses and other health care workers for being non-compliant with mandates is now defeating. We are better off having them work. Time to bring them back.

Draconian avoidance of omicron is not tenable. Omicron or a future variant will eventually find us all. It may even be preferable to encounter omicron a few weeks or months after your last vaccine than a year or two later, as the infection may be milder. As I explain in a prior post, wearing an n95 makes no sense.

It is time to face reality.

Reposted from the author’s blog.


  • Vinay Prasad Vinay Prasad MD MPH is a hematologist-oncologist and Associate Professor in the Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics at the University of California San Francisco. He runs the VKPrasad lab at UCSF, which studies cancer drugs, health policy, clinical trials and better decision making. He is author of over 300 academic articles, and the books Ending Medical Reversal (2015), and Malignant (2020).

New York Protesters Rally in Albany Against Vaccine Bills: ‘We Need Civil Disobedience in This Country’

By Bill Pan
January 6, 2022 Updated: January 6, 2022

ALBANY, N.Y.—New York state lawmakers returning for the 2022 legislative session were met by hundreds of demonstrators who gathered outside the state Capitol to protest a host of measures that would tighten already strict COVID-19 vaccine rules across the state.

As Gov. Kathy Hochul delivered her first State of the State address, the protesters on the west lawn of the Capitol building spoke out against her decisions related to the pandemic response, including the extension of the mask mandate through Feb. 1 and the vaccine mandate for health care workers—now temporarily blocked by a judge, among other policies her administration inherited from the Andrew Cuomo era.

Epoch Times Photo
Hundreds of protesters gathered outside New York State Capitol to protest against proposed policies related to COVID-19 vaccine mandates in Albany, N.Y., on Jan. 5, 2022. (Bill Pan/The Epoch Times)

One of the event’s speakers was Michael Kane, the founder of NY Teachers for Choice, an advocacy group fighting New York City’s COVID-19 vaccine requirements for public school teachers. Kane told the crowd that the city denied his request for a religious exemption because the Roman Catholic Church favors vaccination.

“The New York City lawyers actually said to me, because the pope recommends vaccination, Mr. Kane should be vaccinated,” he said. “What New York City and all of their expensive lawyers don’t know is that no man, no building, no institution stands between me and my God.”

In a call to action, Kane encouraged New Yorkers, and residents of other cities that are trying to adopt the New York City model, to resist the differential treatment of citizens based on vaccination status.

“The vaccine passport nonsense is spreading: Chicago, Boston, D.C. We need civil disobedience from East Coast to West Coast in this country,” he said. “Nonviolent civil disobedience is the way we do this, harking back to the [Civil Rights] movement from the 1960s: No to Segregation.”

Another speaker was Tramell Thompson, a New York City subway conductor and labor leader. In one dramatic moment during his speech, he ripped his own vaccination card as he condemned the vaccination requirement for transit workers.

“We have been telling Cuomo first that there should be no mandates. Now we’re telling Hochul that, because there should be a choice,” Thompson told a cheering crowd. “I’m fully vaccinated, but I’m against [vaccine] passports,” he said, as he started tearing his card into pieces. “I don’t care.”

Epoch Times Photo
Protesters gathered outside New York State Capitol to protest against proposed policies related to COVID-19 vaccine mandates in Albany, N.Y., on Jan. 5, 2022. (Bill Pan/The Epoch Times)

The demonstrators also targeted several legislative proposals they said would violate their medical freedoms and parental rights. Among these measures are A8378, which would add COVID-19 vaccines to the list of required vaccines for all schools and colleges; A2240, which would mandate influenza vaccines for children attending day care; A8398, which seeks to repeal nonmedical exemptions to vaccines for workers and college students; and A3192, which would allow any person aged 14 and above to get government-required or -recommended vaccines without parental consent.

A protester told The Epoch Times that he believes New Yorkers would enjoy less freedom if these measures became law.

“This is the United States of America, not Russia or China,” said the protester, who brought his two homeschooled children to the rally. “We’re a free country, or at least, we used to be. It’s hard to turn the other way, and we don’t believe it.”

Another protester said she worries that the push for vaccine mandates and other public health restrictions opens a slippery slope for the government to take away more freedoms.

“I feel like we’re being coerced and forced into wearing masks and getting vaccinations, and we’re losing our freedom a bit at a time,” the protester told The Epoch Times, adding that she supports the rights of parents to make medical decisions for their children. “If we don’t stand up and protect our freedoms, they’re going to be gone and we won’t be able to get them back.”

At least three of the contested measures are sponsored by Democratic state Assemblyman Jeffrey Dinowitz. In an interview last year with The Journal News after he proposed A8378, Dinowitz characterized opponents of his bill as “anti-vaxxers.”

“I believe that it’s important, just like it’s important for kids to be vaccinated against measles and other diseases, that children are vaccinated against COVID-19,” he told the newspaper. “Anybody who doesn’t take that seriously is just living on another planet.”


Frontline Doctor Highlights His Preferred COVID-19 Treatments

January 4, 2022 Updated: January 4, 2022

While the Omicron variant of the  the CCP (Chinese Communist Party) virus seems to be causing less severe disease than the Delta variant, it’s still landing some people in hospitals, highlighting the need for effective treatment before cases progress to that stage, a frontline doctor says.

Dr. Syed Haider has treated more than 4,000 COVID-19-positive patients so far during the pandemic. Just five ended up going to a hospital, and none have died.

The doctor said his preferred treatments include many off-label medications along with vitamins and supplements.

“Vitamin D is really important, ivermectin is important, fluvoxamine, hydroxychloroquine also works, it’s just a lot of people have been convinced that it doesn’t at this point, and are scared off of trying it,” Haider told NTD’s “Capitol Report.” “But I prefer ivermectin, fluvoxamine, Vitamin D, Vitamin C, quercetin, zinc.

Ivermectin is an anti-parasitic that has had mixed results against COVID-19 in clinical trials and isn’t advised by the Food and Drug Administration to treat the disease. Fluvoxamine is an antidepressant that’s gaining popularity for use against COVID-19. Hydroxychloroquine is an anti-malarial that has shown some success in treating the disease. Quercetin is a plant pigment that’s not widely known yet as a treatment for COVID-19.

Haider has also recommended flax seed oil.

“One really easy thing that anyone can do is just follow the directions on a bottle of hydrogen peroxide, you can get this at the store, can dilute it down to 1 percent swish swish it through your nose, or swish it through your mouth and drip it into your nose or use a neti pot to rinse out your nose. And it’s not uncomfortable, it shouldn’t be burning, if it’s burning, you would want to dilute it a little bit more, and that kills the virus on contact,” he said.

Haider’s list differs from the National Institutes of Health’s recently updated treatment recommendations for non hospitalized COVID-19 patients.

The agency recommends using Pfizer’s COVID-19 pill, known as paxlovid; Merck’s pill, called molnupiravir; GlaxoSmithKline’s monoclonal antibody treatment, sotrovimab; or Gilead Sciences’s remdesivir, administered through IV over multiple days.

The recommendations stem from studies that demonstrate the therapeutics’ effectiveness, the agency said.

Haider, however, doesn’t agree with the remdesivir recommendation, noting it’s never received an endorsement from the World Health Organization and that is has the side effect of causing kidney failure.

The virus that causes COVID-19, he said, is “very, very easily treatable” if early treatment is done with off-label drugs, Haider stressed.

He advises people get prepared ahead of time.

“I think people need to take this seriously and get medications on hand before they get sick,” Dr. Syed Haider told “Capitol Report.”

While Omicron often manifests as a bad cold, even some people who are considered at low-risk of developing severe disease will end up with severe cases, the doctor said. Additionally, emerging data indicate that the protection provided by both vaccination and natural immunity isn’t as good against Omicron, emphasizing the need to be ready.

Correction: A previous version of this article inaccurately described how many patients Dr. Haider has treated. The Epoch Times regrets the error.